Archived report

2026-08-16: Advisory

Original forecast
Advisory forecast
Evidence available at the time
Anthropic: Anthropic details Claude text watermarking; Microsoft: Deep Research, Podcasts and Group chat retire from consumer Copilot app (2026-08-18)
Later outcome
Directionally correct
Forecast grade
directional
What changed afterward
Issued as Advisory; grading after the window closes.

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