{
  "schemaVersion": "1.0.0",
  "endpoint": "methodology",
  "generatedAt": "2026-07-29T12:30:00.348Z",
  "version": "2026.07",
  "sections": [
    {
      "id": "facts-first",
      "title": "Facts first, forecast on top",
      "body": "Each day we collect real signals: live AI-platform operational status, and verifiable AI-discovery developments from the last week with a source URL for every one. The forecast is our reading of those facts, and it is labeled as a forecast."
    },
    {
      "id": "confidence",
      "title": "How forecasts are labeled",
      "body": "Every forecast carries a visible confidence label: confirmed change, observable trend, reasonable forecast, early signal, or unsupported speculation (which we do not publish)."
    },
    {
      "id": "conditions",
      "title": "How conditions are assigned",
      "body": "A fixed rule maps the day’s signals to one condition (Stable through New normal). The same inputs always produce the same condition. Warning is reserved for a real platform outage, so it stays credible."
    },
    {
      "id": "decisions",
      "title": "How the decision is assigned",
      "body": "Each condition maps to one recommended decision, from No action to Act. Calm days map to No action by default, and most days are calm."
    },
    {
      "id": "grading",
      "title": "How forecasts are graded",
      "body": "After a forecast window closes, it is graded and archived. Incorrect forecasts are never deleted."
    },
    {
      "id": "measuring",
      "title": "What we do not fake",
      "body": "Referral market-share needs a licensed dataset we do not yet have, so those panels stay in a measuring state rather than showing an estimate. Everything shown is something we actually measured."
    },
    {
      "id": "cannot-know",
      "title": "What this cannot know",
      "body": "Private ranking systems, unannounced releases, and any individual business’s results. AIOWeather reports the market; AIOInsights evaluates a business."
    }
  ]
}